Chasing a flush on the net – Sometimes the numbers just do not add up!

There is an age old debate in poker – really should you chase a flush? 1st of all we need to define what we mean here by "chasing a flush on line."

Chasing anything in Texas hold’em poker may be the practice of gambling to stay in a hands in the hope which you will produce a far better palm, even while you may possibly have absolutely nothing at the time. So chasing a flush means gambling that you simply will receive the card or card that you simply must complete your flush palm to the turn or river. You cannot chase a flush before the flop because at that time you only have two cards so the flush isn’t on.

So let us say you’re playing one of the massive poker websites on the internet, you have been dealt the Ace and 9 of spades and you’ve paid to see the flop.

The flop is 2s seven spades Kd and one of your competitors comes out wagering strongly with a fair sized raise, what do you do?

Initially of all ask your self what kind of hand you’re up against. The possibilities are triples, one more flush draw, a pair of Kings or a total bluff, so as it stands you are only winning in opposition to the bluff with your Ace. Within the other hands should you hit a spade in the last two cards you’ve got the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or 4 of a kind.

To the face of it you may possibly assume that statistically you’ve about a fifty – fifty possibility of hitting your spade, after all there is 2 cards to arrive and four suits so there must be about a half likelihood, correct?


You already have two of the spades in your hand and there’s a different 2 showing to the table, so you know five cards and 4 of them are spades. That means you may have nine spades left accessible out of the forty seven cards you haven’t seen, which is only a forty two per-cent probability of catching your flush.

If you do bet within the turn and don’t produce your flush, what do you do then? You may have most likely now turn into pot-committed, you’ve put so much into the pot that you just may possibly as properly wager again to the river unless there’s a huge increase or all-in in opposition to you, but now your chances of producing the flush have dropped dramatically to only 21 per cent.

Except what of that other factor, the mysterious world wide web poker syndrome? What I imply by which is although you statistically have a forty two % opportunity of producing a flush, is that what actually occurs in reality? Should you bet the very same palm at the similar internet poker table 100 occasions would you acquire a flush 42 times? From my personal understanding I doubt it. Flushes seem to arrive around lots less frequently than 42 out of 100 instances!

That’s just my own opinion and I’m positive the poker internet sites would tell you a distinct story, but the way I see it’s forty two percent may be the extremely Greatest you’re ever going to obtain and you may possibly effectively have a great deal much less likelihood than that of hitting your flush.

Bottom line? Chasing a flush on-line is a incredibly risky method that sucks you in and over commits you, without giving you sufficient of a chance of pulling out the succeeding hand.